The Program, Finance and Administration Committee adopted forecasts for population and employment within the 31-county region on March 12, 2015. The 2050 SED forecasts will be used in the 2045 Regional Transportation Plan and all near future conformity analysis.
2050 Forecasts

Using the agreed upon methodology, forecasts have been developed for use as data inputs for the New York Best Practice Model (NYBPM) and for the next Regional Transportation Plan.

PFAC Adoption of Regional Consensus Forecasts Resolution #2015-2 (PDF)
Tables from Resolution #2015-2 (Excel)
Population Table
Employment Table 

 

Technical Memorandum

Draft 2050 SED Forecast Report
Summaries and Analysis of Existing Trends and Key Factors for Forecasting
Model Methodology
2050 SED County Level Forecasts Results & Analysis
2050 SED County Level Forecasts Results & Analysis-Detailed Excel Tables
Zonal Allocation Methodology

 

White Paper

A White Paper on the methodology for the 2050 Socioeconomic and Demographic Forecasts describes elements of the proposed methodology which were used to develop the forecasts for the 31 counties in the New York metropolitan region. White Paper on Methodology for 2050 Forecasts →

Draft forecasts

click to download PDF →

Historical Forecast Data